Sony's PS4 Has 50% Lead Over Microsoft's Xbox One, Says Strategy Analytics Survey

Nuvian

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Feb 4, 2008
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Sony's PS4 will have the edge over Microsoft's Xbox One in the new games console battle which will erupt later this year according to feedback from Strategy Analytics' latest ConsumerMetrix survey. According to the report, "Games Consoles: Purchase Intention Index Q2 2013", 14.2 percent of consumers are very or somewhat likely to buy a PS4 within the next twelve months compared to 9.5 percent who will buy an Xbox One. If the results were reflected in sales data this would imply that sales of PS4s would be nearly fifty percent higher than Xbox One. The survey interviewed a representative population sample of more than 6000 respondents across the US and Europe in June 2013.

"Our survey suggests that consumers believe the PS4 will win the early phase of the next generation console war," says Jia Wu, Director, Connected Home Devices (CHD). "Sony's performance at E3 was widely accepted as superior to Microsoft's, and the survey evidence suggests this has already fed through to the wider consumer market."

The report notes that the PS4 leads in both the US and Europe, in spite of the fact that Xbox 360 currently has a lead over the PS3 in the US. In the key 20-35 age group nearly 30 percent of respondents are very or somewhat likely to buy a PS4 compared to under 20 percent for Xbox One.

"There are still likely to be a few twists and turns before market launch," says Ed Barton, Director, Digital Media Strategies (DMS). "Microsoft has already demonstrated a willingness to listen to consumer concerns and it will now need to leverage the retention power of Xbox Live and invest in exclusive games if Xbox One is going to recover from its poor showing at E3."

Methodology: Strategy Analytics conducted an online survey, the ConsumerMetrix Survey fielded in June 2013. The sample consisted of n=2062 individuals in the US and n=4118 in Europe ages 15-74. Strategy Analytics weighted the data by country, age, gender and internet use to represent the US and European populations of internet users, respectively.

About Strategy Analytics

Strategy Analytics, Inc. provides timely and actionable market intelligence focused on opportunities and disruptive forces in the areas of emerging technology, communications and media. For more information, please visit http://www.strategyanalytics.com/

US Contact: Jia Wu, +1 617 614 0712 , [email protected]

European Contact: Ed Barton, +44 1908 423613 , [email protected]


SOURCE Strategy Analytics


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Not a shocker exactly.
 

KnotGamer901

Master Poster
Jan 31, 2010
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#5
Really nothing surprising here, and nothing that we already didn't guess on. But it's nice to see it from an "official" analytic point of view. one particular part I though was funny: Microsoft has already demonstrated a willingness to listen to consumer concerns. :lol::facepalm:
 

Venger

Forum Elder
Jun 16, 2005
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#6
The only problem with this kind of thing is that analyst is basically the modern name for soothsayer, except they aren't as accurate. :)

Not that I don't agree in this case, I think even if MS was doing everything right, and they aren't, this won't be remotely the same as the current generation. MS doesn't have any of their advantages this time around, and they've fallen into third place world wide despite them.
 

Fon

Master Guru
Oct 5, 2009
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#7
Sony has the hype and support from a good number of the core audience. Word of mouth will be key here but it's too early to determine the outcome of both platforms.
 

KnotGamer901

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Jan 31, 2010
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#8
[QUOTE="Fon, post: 6158742]Sony has the hype and support from a good number of the core audience. Word of mouth will be key here but it's too early to determine the outcome of both platforms.[/QUOTE]

I agree fon. I love the fact that the ps4 is dominating so far and I hope it just buts the XBone out of commission, but I also recognize ms's strength as a company and that this thing is FAR from over with


moving on tapatalk
 

mistercrow

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Nov 10, 2007
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#9
[QUOTE="Venger, post: 6158699]The only problem with this kind of thing is that analyst is basically the modern name for soothsayer, except they aren't as accurate. :) Not that I don't agree in this case, I think even if MS was doing everything right, and they aren't, this won't be remotely the same as the current generation. MS doesn't have any of their advantages this time around, and they've fallen into third place world wide despite them.[/QUOTE] Yep, and since MS have fallen into 3rd place worldwide this gen despite their advantages it will really be interesting to see how the next gen plays out for MS without any advantages.
 
May 20, 2008
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[QUOTE="mistercrow, post: 6158847]Yep, and since MS have fallen into 3rd place worldwide this gen despite their advantages it will really be interesting to see how the next gen plays out for MS without any advantages.[/QUOTE]

It's probably gonna pay out similar to this gen. Success for both PS4 and the ONE.
 

mistercrow

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Nov 10, 2007
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#11
[QUOTE="Sub-stance1, post: 6158853]It's probably gonna pay out similar to this gen. Success for both PS4 and the ONE.[/QUOTE] That would be good. I want both companies to push each other to be better. Consumer wins.
 

Lefein

Ultimate Veteran
Jun 9, 2005
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#12
[QUOTE="mistercrow, post: 6158858]That would be good. I want both companies to push each other to be better. Consumer wins.[/QUOTE]

I don't. It splits developer resources and makes it hard for more niche and genre-specific games to take advantage of a large and entrenched fanbase. This is why the PS1 and PS2 era had so many standout games like Katamari Damacy.

As long as gamers are divided across a fence, publishers will continue to be conservative in the choice of games they want to fund.
 

K2D

Forum Guru
Oct 19, 2006
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#13
You might have good point there. I don't agree that it's the clear cut truth, but there's clearly different times right now.

Edit: You win some you lose some.
 
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mistercrow

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Nov 10, 2007
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#14
[QUOTE="Lefein, post: 6158865]I don't. It splits developer resources and makes it hard for more niche and genre-specific games to take advantage of a large and entrenched fanbase. This is why the PS1 and PS2 era had so many standout games like Katamari Damacy. As long as gamers are divided across a fence, publishers will continue to be conservative in the choice of games they want to fund.[/QUOTE] Hmm...good point. You just reminded me that the PS2 generation was dominated by Sony and it was my favorite generation of gaming. So I guess I stand corrected.
 

Lefein

Ultimate Veteran
Jun 9, 2005
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#15
[QUOTE="mistercrow, post: 6158897]Hmm...good point. You just reminded me that the PS2 generation was dominated by Sony and it was my favorite generation of gaming. So I guess I stand corrected.[/QUOTE]

Like a boss.
 

KnotGamer901

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Jan 31, 2010
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#18
[QUOTE="Lefein, post: 6158865]I don't. It splits developer resources and makes it hard for more niche and genre-specific games to take advantage of a large and entrenched fanbase. This is why the PS1 and PS2 era had so many standout games like Katamari Damacy.

As long as gamers are divided across a fence, publishers will continue to be conservative in the choice of games they want to fund.[/QUOTE]

you really made a great point there, I was of the opinion that success for both consoles guaranteed competition and ultimately the gamers win. I possibly stand corrected on that issue. So you're saying that as long as gamers are divided, publishers have to be careful on which games they fund to ensure a good selling game?
 

Nerevar

Sonata Dusk
Staff member
Aug 27, 2005
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#19
[QUOTE="Lefein, post: 6158865]I don't. It splits developer resources and makes it hard for more niche and genre-specific games to take advantage of a large and entrenched fanbase. This is why the PS1 and PS2 era had so many standout games like Katamari Damacy.

As long as gamers are divided across a fence, publishers will continue to be conservative in the choice of games they want to fund.[/QUOTE]

I'd say it's more due to the bloated over-expenditure of AAA titles and the rising costs of game development as a result of higher standards and mismanagement. Sure, it does split the available potential buyer base, but it can also force developers to make better games to compete. What balance would you prefer, then? 20/80? Or just a single console ruling the market? You know nothing like that is beneficial in the long run. It appears to me that a roughly similar market share is preferable overall.
 

Lefein

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Jun 9, 2005
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#20
[QUOTE="Rapture, post: 6159066]I'd say it's more due to the bloated over-expenditure of AAA titles and the rising costs of game development as a result of higher standards and mismanagement. Sure, it does split the available potential buyer base, but it can also force developers to make better games to compete. What balance would you prefer, then? 20/80? Or just a single console ruling the market? You know nothing like that is beneficial in the long run. It appears to me that a roughly similar market share is preferable overall.[/QUOTE]

I like a "Winner-take-all" market. The healthy competition comes in the form of companies coming around and making a machine that changes the rules and, right now, it seems like one console-maker is simply riding in Sony's wake while another one is betting on what worked for them last gen and losing the gamble handily.

Sony has their shit straight. They have the best machine. They haven't had to change their message whatsoever. They are reaping the rewards for it. If MS or Nintendo drop out of next-next-gen, someone else will come along and fill the gap who may be better suited for the job than any of the current three. The problem comes from making Gods out of the current big three. One day, someone may come along with better ideas than Sony. MS seemed to be on the right track until 2009 and look where that got them?

You may take it for granted that I am saying this because I am a Playstation fan and Sony is just walking the walk right now, but I was perfectly willing to abandon them just like I abandoned Nintendo after the Super NES generation if they went down a similar path that MS was going. Therein lies my biggest problem with MS (and always has been, really). They showed their gamers what they truly thought about them and when the gamers spoke back, they have back-tracked from everything. So, what's wrong with making room for someone else? I'm sure that comes across as pretty cut-throat, but that's just how I feel. You have to remember that I've seen Atari, Sega, TurboGrafx, 3DO, CD-i and various other brands come and go in my day.. and it was always for the best.
 

mistercrow

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Nov 10, 2007
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#23
[QUOTE="JDizzleNO1, post: 6159852]NAH UH, THIS IS WRONG! THE SOURCE IS BULLSHIT! XBOX ONE IS SO MUCH BETTER! :snicker[/QUOTE] Yep it has teh cloud powerz.
 

PS4freak

Counting Mod
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May 15, 2006
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#24
I would say with the hype that PS4 built off of MS faults, i think this is likely a fair assessment. MS had created an uphill battle for themselves. Their turn around recently definitely helps but I feel they still have a ways to go before they are on an even level as far consumer interest goes.
 

Cyn

Veteran
Feb 19, 2008
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#27
[QUOTE="Lefein, post: 6158865]I don't. It splits developer resources and makes it hard for more niche and genre-specific games to take advantage of a large and entrenched fanbase. This is why the PS1 and PS2 era had so many standout games like Katamari Damacy.

As long as gamers are divided across a fence, publishers will continue to be conservative in the choice of games they want to fund.[/QUOTE]
A multi-platform landscape is perfectly healthy as long as all parties play by the rules. Unfortunately and typically, Microsoft spent the entirety of this gen being underhanded bastards, cock blocking Sony whenever they could and bullying developers into submission, right from the very start of the 360 life cycle. It's just how they operate
 
Likes: Lefein
S

Soldier 95B

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#28
Let me guess, THIS is a credible source ;) lol

Good news is, the demand for these consoles are through the roof. So long Wii U, it's like we never knew you.....oh wait...we didn't!
 

KnotGamer901

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Jan 31, 2010
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#29
[QUOTE="Soldier 95B, post: 6160029]Let me guess, THIS is a credible source ;) lol

Good news is, the demand for these consoles are through the roof. So long Wii U, it's like we never knew you.....oh wait...we didn't![/QUOTE]

lol I knew that was coming. honestly WTF is a credible source anymore?!? :D


moving on tapatalk
 
S

Soldier 95B

Guest
#30
[QUOTE="KnotGamer901, post: 6160066]honestly WTF is a credible source anymore?!?[/QUOTE]

Wait for it.......




Wait for it.......




Wait for it.......

THE INTERNET!