Your Sales Guestimation

Legend Killer

Master Poster
Dec 24, 2005
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#1
Well with all the hype surrounding the new Price drop and the redesigned PS3, I was thinking it would be interesting to see how much you think the PS3 will sell from now until this coming holiday season. With a few major titles coming out this year i.e Final Fantasy XIII, Modern Warfare 2 and Uncharted 2. I know the sales will be pretty good this year end.

for my guestimation I'll say, the Ps3 will sell about 6 mil units by year end.

whats your guess?

Edit: I was thinking maybe we should make it a little more detailed as in the number of units in each region.

I'm thinking

US: 1.5mil
Japan:1.5mil
Europe:3mil
Total= 6mil
 

Legend Killer

Master Poster
Dec 24, 2005
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#3
[QUOTE="Sufi, post: 0]Uh oh. You guys are gonna jinx it![/quote]

lmao "fingers crossed" nah I think Sony will be fine, to be honest and this might sound weird, But I think Sony had this planned all along. with the PS3 Price cut right around the the release of Final Fantasy XIII, God of War 3 and Gran Turismo 5. I think there's more than meets the eye.

Sony you sneaky Devil.
 

Omar

Forum Overseer
May 29, 2005
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#4
Yea I'm surprised as well by their almost unanimous moves. Bunch of things coming out at around the same time to cause quite a stir.

First there was PSP Go, then PS2 price cut, now Slim with a price cut, then FW 3.0, MAG beta, LBP gets water etc. and a few things I can't think off the top of my head.
 

Lefein

Ultimate Veteran
Jun 9, 2005
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#5
Let's not and say we did...

Expectations have been through the roof this whole gen. PS3 fans deserve a day to kick back and not worry about the console wars so much. LOL

Prediction: Sales will be fine
 

Legend Killer

Master Poster
Dec 24, 2005
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#6
[QUOTE="Lefein, post: 0]Let's not and say we did...

Expectations have been through the roof this whole gen. PS3 fans deserve a day to kick back and not worry about the console wars so much. LOL

Prediction: Sales will be fine[/quote]


To be honest I wasn't really trying to do a sales comparison with Sony's competitors really, this was more of a lets see who can guess how much (or close to) how much the PS3 will sell by year end thread.

But I understand you guys concern, some may not see it from my perspective.
 

Lefein

Ultimate Veteran
Jun 9, 2005
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#8
[QUOTE="Legend Killer, post: 0]To be honest I wasn't really trying to do a sales comparison with Sony's competitors really, this was more of a lets see who can guess how much (or close to) how much the PS3 will sell by year end thread.

But I understand you guys concern, some may not see it from my perspective.[/quote]

LoL, it's cool. My bad for being an alarmist.
 

TAZ427

Elite Guru
Nov 29, 2007
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#10
3M Units world wide from now unit Black Friday (Nov 27th this year.) And another 4.5M units from Black Friday - Jan 8th (I give the week after the holiday's as holiday sales because of gift cards.) If we just limit it to official holiday season of Black Friday - Dec 26th, then I say 4M units, putting it at a total of 7M PS3 Slim sales for 2009.

TAZ427
 

DeputyDon

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Jun 7, 2005
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#11
well last month didn't the PS3 only have like 130k sales? I'm hoping they go up to at least 400k a month now, but really it comes down to Sony marketing. If they don't market the hell out of the Slim, then it's not going to get them much further than they already are. That's my opinion at least.

Although, i'll be shocked if the PS3 Slim doesn't sell more than 400k for September. I would pretty much assume that Sony is screwed if it doesn't. (assuming they have enough in stock to keep up with sales).
 

skulpt

Master Guru
May 27, 2005
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#13
I predict that Sony will meet or get very close to the 13M they estimated for the end of March 2010.

I also predict that the PS3 will trail the 360 in the NPD by a little bit still in November and December at least, and some people will say that the PS3 PC didn't work and Sony are screwed. But then we will see that the rest of the World + NPD = about 13M, and some of the people will either ignore that fact like they did this last year and continue to say that the PS3 is screwed, or they will fall silent like they did after we heard these last quarters results.

I 100% predict that if the PS3 trails the 360 in the NPD in November and December by even 1%, people will say the PS3 is doomed and put blinders on that this is a global market, and not just a US based on. That's one of the constants in the world this gen. LOL.
 

Legend Killer

Master Poster
Dec 24, 2005
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#14
[QUOTE="DeputyDon, post: 0]well last month didn't the PS3 only have like 130k sales? I'm hoping they go up to at least 400k a month now, but really it comes down to Sony marketing. If they don't market the hell out of the Slim, then it's not going to get them much further than they already are. That's my opinion at least.

Although, i'll be shocked if the PS3 Slim doesn't sell more than 400k for September. I would pretty much assume that Sony is screwed if it doesn't. (assuming they have enough in stock to keep up with sales).[/quote]

Well that's a logical estimate to be honest, guess we'll just have to wait and see. And I agree it's all about how well Sony market the PS3. but we must not forget at one point Sony was called "The Masters of Marketing" but that was back in the PS1/PS2 era.
 

Lefein

Ultimate Veteran
Jun 9, 2005
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#15
We won't REALLY know what the worldwide sales impact of this price drop until TGS 2010 unless Sony feel up to announcing their worldwide sales before that point.
 
F

fleinn

Guest
#16
[QUOTE="*goo, post: 0]I think it will sell at least 23 units.

:)[/quote]
51. And I'll raise you one extra ds3 controller.
 

Legend Killer

Master Poster
Dec 24, 2005
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#17
[QUOTE="Lefein, post: 0]We won't REALLY know what the worldwide sales impact of this price drop until TGS 2010 unless Sony feel up to announcing their worldwide sales before that point.[/quote]

You know they'll do it at E3. :lol:

What can I say, Sony love the graphs. :grin:
 

Daggers21

Super Elite
Jul 24, 2008
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#18
[QUOTE="Legend Killer, post: 0]Well with all the hype surrounding the new Price drop and the redesigned PS3, I was thinking it would be interesting to see how much you think the PS3 will sell from now until this coming holiday season. With a few major titles coming out this year i.e Final Fantasy XIII, Modern Warfare 2 and Uncharted 2. I know the sales will be pretty good this year end.

for my guestimation I'll say, the Ps3 will sell about 6 mil units by year end.

whats your guess?[/quote]
about 8 million units
 

Legend Killer

Master Poster
Dec 24, 2005
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#23
[QUOTE="AaronSOLDIER, post: 0]Sony really need to advertise a lot now though, the average consumer has no idea a slim is coming at $299[/quote]

I can assure you commercials will start showing up soon they're just waiting until it's available to the public.

We just have to wait and see how it's done.
 

AaronSOLDIER

Ultimate Veteran
Apr 5, 2007
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#24
[QUOTE="Legend Killer, post: 0]I can assure you commercials will start showing up soon they're just waiting until it's available to the public.

We just have to wait and see how it's done.[/quote]

SCE UK probably won't - they spent 2 mil on KZ2 advertising and I saw the ad once :lol:
 

TDbank24

Master Guru
Jul 25, 2008
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#29
I think the Ps3 starts selling through the roof with the new and exciting slim and price drop to $300 dollars. I fully expect Sony to cut Microsoft's 7mil lead in half by the end of the year.
 

Legend Killer

Master Poster
Dec 24, 2005
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#30
[QUOTE="AaronSOLDIER, post: 0]lol Sony made the Wii 2 before Nintendo. Seriously though, I bet the slim actually does sell out or close to it first week in a lot of places - tons of people have been waiting for this[/quote]

Lol you're right, I forgot about the PlayStation Eye & Eye pet costing 50 Euro was it?
with the release of the Motion controller which I think will cost around $50-$60 Sony have a bright future a head of them.