Report: No new consoles until 2013, PS3 to beat 360 by 2011
- Posted June 30th, 2009 at 10:50 EDT by Mike Harradence
- 36 Comments
Wedbush Morgan Securities has forecast that no new home consoles will be released by the big three (aka Sony, Microsoft and Nintendo) until the year 2013 at the very earliest.
Speaking in a mammoth report issued yesterday, the company stated, “Because it is eminently clear that no new console is planned for launch in 2010 (the fifth year of the current cycle), we do not expect hardware or software sales to peak any time soon. Rather, we expect that hardware and software sales will peak, as they have in the past, in the year prior to the introduction of a new console; this cycle, we think that will happen several years from now, if at all.”
“Hence, we believe that the “peak” of the cycle will be in year n-1, with “n” representing the launch of a next generation console. As we believe that will not occur until 2013 or later, we calculate year n-1 as 2012 or later.”
Elsewhere, the report also offers sales estimations for current generation platforms up until 2011, with the Wii, unsurprisingly, taking the top spot with global sales of 93 million. However, PlayStation 3 is placed ahead of Xbox 360, with Sony’s machine selling 49 million units compared to the 360’s 44 million.
- 5:53am EDT - June 30th, 2009
I'm not sure I trust Ms to follow this trend, but SONY definitely will. The PS3 is a long lifecycle system which wuill probably be yielding new resources until they discontinue it.
- 5:58am EDT - June 30th, 2009
Meh...I haven't seen enough of the PS3 yet, so I couldnt care less if a new console isnt released until 2015. I seriously have not enjoyed the PS3 half as much as I enjoyed the PS2 & this is down to changes in Socom, waiting for FF13 & GT5 etc.
Im sure as heck not buying another console for quite a long time & this doesnt mean Im not satisfied with the PS3. I think its a great machine....just waiting on games I like.
- 6:05am EDT - June 30th, 2009
i thought commodore 64 was to be released in 2010...
- 6:07am EDT - June 30th, 2009
@2 yeah i totally agree, im waiting for a whole new load of great games before i even think about next console
GT and GT2 = PS1
GT3 and GT4 = PS2
GT5 / P = PS3
GT5 is gonna have a massive amount of life span imo
- 6:14am EDT - June 30th, 2009
WOw, another PS3 sales report lol !!!
- 6:17am EDT - June 30th, 2009
Whereas you may think that's cool news, I bet they are factoring in price cuts that Sony won't make.
But I do believe what they say about consoles and 2013. With this economy and how technology is good enough to where these consoles (even the 360) can last a long time, I think this generation will be longer. The may not have originally planned it that way, but I think M$ has an 8-year console of its own in the 360, honestly.
- 6:20am EDT - June 30th, 2009
@ 2 you are on the money there!
I couldnt agree more. We just need more MASSIVE game sequels, then i will be content with this generation.
Ill be happy to play my PS3 til 2020. lol
- 6:26am EDT - June 30th, 2009
This is good news.
- 6:32am EDT - June 30th, 2009
well i spose this is good news for ps3
- 7:34am EDT - June 30th, 2009
interesting that they predict the 360 will sell less than 15m in the next 4 years....seems a bit low when you say it like that dont you guys think?
- 7:41am EDT - June 30th, 2009
i actually think this is good im mean i love the ps3 and i want them to wait a while before they releases a new so this is good news for me
- 8:26am EDT - June 30th, 2009
Think about it though really, PS3 price cut would of already happened by then. Alot of 360 users will end up buying a ps3, since i've asked a few people on the internet and real life.
- 9:23am EDT - June 30th, 2009
Wow, these people get paid to make up figures. Hmm i'll throw out a mathmatical equeation n-1 and that has to be when the next consoles being released. Stupid analysists.
- 9:37am EDT - June 30th, 2009
I cannot see how & what else they can do to improve the PS3 except make it thinner. What they need to do is make more out of this world games. How about a sequel to Heavenly Sword, MGS, Dead Space, GT5 (whenever that comes out). They can update the system with a dowload patch. They already made a motion sensor device for the PS3 so they can compete with the wii. I just see the PS3 to last up untill 2020.
AaronSOLDIER | AaronSOLDIER
- 9:41am EDT - June 30th, 2009
@4 - You mean GT5 and GT6 - theres still another GT due, there was a GT4P you know
- 9:58am EDT - June 30th, 2009
crazy the ps3 need to outsell the 360 by at least 350,000 per month starting now to catch it by 2011, right now 360 is salling around 15,000 unit more
1solidsnake | solid1snake67
- 10:16am EDT - June 30th, 2009
no dreamcast 2? wtf!? let the ps4 cometh!
- 10:20am EDT - June 30th, 2009
okay this is outta the subject but....... do u like pie???? i really wanna know
- 10:59am EDT - June 30th, 2009
well this is obvious,if all consoles was free i pretty much would bet my life the ps3 would be the fav,which prove is just the price and when that comes down it will overtake the 360 in north america, bare in mind its already over taken 360 in asia and europe.ps3 has won already.nothing more the 360 can give,the price is already cut to the bone and the games are maxed out/crap exclusives.
- 11:11am EDT - June 30th, 2009
Man I really wish analysts would stop with this crap...they've been trying to guess at who will be ahead near the end of the life span since the beginning of this generation! AND THEY'VE BEEN WRONG EVERY TIME! 2007 is going to be the year of the PS3! Okay...maybe not....2008 is going to be the year of the PS3! ...hmmmm....2009 is going to be the year of the PS3! Just shut up about the standings, you've been wrong every time. Let gamers enjoy their consoles without worrying about who's in the lead. Enjoy your investment and don't worry about whether your console is number 1 or 2. If being number 1 means that my system will be stuck with crappy software (humphhhh..wii...) then I think I'll gladly embrace my 2nd and 3rd place consoles.
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