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Modern Warfare 3 to sell 16m in Q4 2011, says Pachter

Wedbush Morgan analyst Michael Pachter has said he believes Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3 will sell twice as many copies as rival Battlefield 3 during the fourth quarter of 2011.

Speaking with Forbes, Pachter reckons Activision’s FPS juggernaut will flog 16 million units during Q4 2011, while Battlefield 3, published by Electronic Arts, will move eight million units.

Furthermore, the analyst believes both military shooters will generate over $1.4 billion in revenue during the three month period, accounting for 15 percent of total packaged software sales.

Pachter didn’t stop there however, predicting MW3 could move an additional eight million copies next year, with Battlefield 3 selling an extra three million units. He also reckons punters will likely purchase both games.

"I’d guess that around half of the console copies of Battlefield 3 will be bought by people who also buy Modern Warfare 3, so around two to three million will buy both," said Pachter. "I don’t see much cannibalization of the titles."

Modern Warfare 3 is due out on November 8, while Battlefield 3 hits stores tomorrow in the U.S. and Friday in Europe.